The Improvement Service, in collaboration with the National Records of Scotland (NRS), has published a standard set of population projections for sub-council areas.
The NRS regularly produces population projections for each council area, but not for smaller areas within each council. This project addresses this gap by making available a set of projections for 345 small areas within Scotland’s councils.
This work is intended to support councils who do not have the capacity to produce their own projections as well as users who are interested in a standard set of local area projections for all areas across Scotland. It is not intended to replace projections already being produced by some councils but will provide a number of benefits in terms of providing an updated set of sub-council area projections that are consistent with the sub-national (council level) projections produced by NRS.
Population projections can help councils understand the potential future size and make-up of local populations and inform forward planning by councils and other partners. They provide a detailed breakdown of the projected age structure of these areas and the drivers of change. Therefore, this standard set of sub-council area projections produced by the Improvement Service and NRS will be of interest to councils who are currently unable to produce their own population projections.
These projections form part of a wider package of NRS support offered to those who want to create their own population projections. The projections can also be used by councils in conjunction with this support package, as a basis on which to build custom projections using local knowledge and assumptions.
The final set of projections are now available on the Improvement Service website. Additional input and output files, which can be used to produce custom projections are also available on request. Further information about the project and the additional support offered is available on the NRS website.