Sub-council population projections provide an indication of the potential future population size and structure for small areas within local authorities.
Here you can find a national set of sub-council population projections for small areas within each local authority area in Scotland. The projections use past trends in mortality, fertility, and migration to estimate what the population of an area might look like in the future.
Population projections have a range of uses, including planning and providing service delivery. The NRS regularly produce population projections at a national and sub-national level, including for council areas. These sub-council projections allow a more nuanced view of where people, and different population groups, are likely to live in future within a local authority. It should be noted that projections such as these come with a number of limitations, as set out on the NRS website. More details on the methodology and limitations can be found in the FAQs section and methodology note.
You can download the outputs. More details on these projections are available on request. We would also be interested in hearing more about how you use these projections and any other feedback on useful outputs that we could produce.